2016 NFL season overunder win total picks for AFC Rise of the Raiders

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The NFL Draft has come and gone, which means its the best season of the year: over/under season. We have win totals released for each and every NFL team, courtesy of Sportsbook.ag, and you can place a friendly wager on whether you think the teams will win more or le s games than their perceived Las Vegas total.Every year I break these down in May trying to predict how many wins every NFL team will have. Totally easy situation, but my favorite thing I write all season maybe.Last year I went a very underwhelming 7-9 in the AFC, although my one locks (Patriots over) hit, making me 3-0 on locks for the year. Leave your picks in the comments, yell at me for and please denote locks are hit with the triple ***.You can find .AFC West 9.0 Over (-125) / Under (-105) What a wild card team this is. John Elway gives Devin Hester Jersey no bleeps and stared down the quarterback market all offseason before drafting Paxton Lynch late in the first round. and Emmanuel Sanders will make him a much better quarterback in Gary Kubiaks offense than people expect (rolling out on the edge and throwing deep fits his skill set). Despite the departures, this defense remains stacked, thanks to and , plus the best secondary in the NFL. Expect a better than you saw for most of last year. The AFC South is better, but this is a strong schedule for an underrated team. 9.5 Over (-115) / Under (-115) Lot of wins here, although they also benefit from a bad schedule. was a nice addition in free agency and the defense will still be strong, but losing definitely hurts. Andy Reid has a funny way of making and some combination of running backs dangerous. Theyll flirt with the number and get easy divisions on the schedule, but this could be the year they stumble a bit under Reid. 8.0 Over (-150) / Under (+120) Theres Tarik Cohen Jersey not a hotter team in terms of a bandwagon than Oakland. They loaded up on upgrades in the secondary with , Sean Smith and Karl Joseph and have , destroyer of men. could take a step forward and has and . This is secretly the best offensive line in football. Sometimes a line is just a line. *** 7.0 Over (-110) / Under (-120) The Joey Bosa pick makes sense because hes a great football player, but hes a weird guy for that defense. The offensive line cant get any more injured than its been in the last few years, right? is still elite, and he dealt with the suspension, s kidney exploding and generally being terrible last year. This offense cant help but be more efficient. The defense has lots of pieces that could jump as well. Sneaky team in a division that might not be great. AFC North 8.5 Over (Even) / Under (-130) A rare disastrous season for Trey Burton Jersey the Ravens has the world expecting another bad year, except even the expectations for a bad Ravens team are still high. Theyll get back, and a first year out of should mean more vertical explosion for this offense. s health is being totally glo sed over. Multiple guys on this defense need to take a step forward, but are totally capable of doing so. Bounceback season coming. 9.5 Over (-130) / Under (Even) Last years total was a total joke and easily exposed. This year is a little more difficult, considering it requires 10 wins and its not paying very well. Also: you have to deal with the lo s of a viable second wide receiver (although Tyler Boyd is going to be a sneaky stud) and the lo s of Hue Jackson. The latter is the biggest concern for s development, but this is a team getting the NFC East and AFC East. The problem is the schedule looks brutal and it might be a step-back year. 4.5 Over (-140) / Under (Even) Four wins is an obscene number. But the Browns are averaging five wins a year over the last . That is a factory of sadne s at maximum efficiency. And this roster is designed to be the worst weve seen in a while. is going to surprise some people. Corey Coleman is a sleeper for Rookie of the Year. is perfect for Hue Jacksons running back attack. The defense added pieces. But its a rebuild, and this team is terrible. Like them for the future but cant like them right now. 10.5 Over (-130) / Under (Even) Potential Super Bowl pick for me here. So much invested from Walter Payton Jersey the draft on the defense and offensive line. Those pieces are eventually going to click for a franchise whose succe s is predicated on developing talent. should have been mentioned more the last few years in terms of the MVP conversation. is unstoppable. Le'Veon Bell will be back. They just find talent at wideout and could be the most explosive offense in football. The price is terrible, but betting against them is crazy.AFC East 8.0 Over (-115) / Under (-115) Tremendous job of improving in the draft on defense by the Bills. Shaq Lawson and Reggie Ragland make them better off the bat. No one is talking about the quarterback situation though if isnt happy and wont play for a low amount of money, they could be stuck with . Taylor is going to play, but him unhappy is bad news. Cardale Jones starting in the NFL right now? Worse news. is a stud, but who is playing next to him? This defense gets way better, but the offense gets way worse in a surprisingly down year. 7.0 Over (-125) / Under (-105) Kind of a sucker for Adam Gase here, so forgive me for buying into the Dolphins a bit. They did add more protection in Laremy Tunsil (smokescreen!) and the defense has a lot of win-now potential if everything breaks right. is going to get better under Gase, the way people thought he would last year. His weapons , , , are sneaky. has to carry a load, but he can do that for a year. If they can go 2-2 out of the gate, theyll crush this over. 10.5 Over Sherrick McManis Jersey (-115) / Under (-115) How is this not discounted for s four-game suspension? Take us down to single digits, Vegas! The reality is the Pats are going to win double-digit games because thats what the Patriots do. The over is a tough sell because of Brady's suspension, but its still a really good buy. They have Brady for 10 games, which means something in the range of eight wins worst case (look at the schedule). So if they can go 3-1 against the , Dolphins, Texans and Bills with Jimmy Garropolo under center, its a lock. Oh yeah Brady could still play theoretically. *** 8.0 Over (-115 Richard Dent Jersey ) / Under (-115) Does this price a sume will play quarterback or ... who? is going to be better than people expect if he starts, but if Christian Hackenberg ever has to play this under is a lock. s status is a major concern and the defensive line is much, much worse without him. Four of six and six of nine on the road to start the season is brutal. At least they dont get the Pats without Brady! Oh wait. I buy into but he isnt the physical workhorse was.AFC South 8.5 Over (-130) / Under (Even) The Texans won nine games each of the last two years and they didnt have , , Will Fuller and Braxton Miller on offense. There are i sues with acclimating the group to a new scheme, but Bill OBrien works wonders on offense and this is his best personnel grouping . The Texans are getting way le s love than the rest of the AFC South and are a strong pick here to steal the division if theyre not favored. Also: is on the defense. 9.5 Over (Even) / Under (-130) Grabbing Ryan Kelly was critical to help stay healthy. Theyre better this year just because hes not being pelted left and right and consistently injured. But the defense isnt better, and the entire division is significantly improved. It just feels like a nine-win team, which is totally fine and also the level at which they played over the past few years, and not some lucky 12-win team that feasts on a really terrible division. 7.5 Over (-125) / Under (-105) The second-hottest team in the NFL when it comes to bandwagon riding Brian Urlacher Jersey . Hard to blame people considering what Jacksonville did this offseason, adding , and then landing Jalen Ramsey and Myles Jack in the draft. They look like they could take a leap. The biggest concern might be , and continuing to progre s in a similar fashion. But you just need .500, and anything is po sible in this division. 5.5 Over (-165) / Under (+130) I love the effort to get better at being a running, exotic smashmouth team by adding Derrick Henry and Jack Conklin. The division is easy, and getting to play the Browns is choice. is a legitimate future superstar at quarterback. But Mike Mularkey isnt transforming this team into some juggernaut and they could struggle out of the gates with a tough schedule and an improved division. It wouldnt be surprising at all to see them pick in the top two for the third straight year.
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